Trump’s Bad Polling Math Should Concern GOP

But it Should Worry All Americans too

Taxation without representation is tyranny.

James Otis, 1761

Fox News, CNN and other reliable polls show that slightly more than half of Americans want Trump impeached and removed. The average of reliable polls is 52% want Trump out. These are people who will never vote for him. So Trump starts at 48% of the popular vote as a maximum.

And it gets worse than that because some of the 48% wont end up voting for him as well. If 75% of Americans want witnesses and documents in the Senate Impeachment Trial, it is because they know there can be no real trial and no justice possible without witnesses and documents. And many of those 75% are Republican and Independent voters. This means 75% of Americans have at least some reservations about the honesty of Donald Trump and they want to see a real trial to resolve that uncertainty.

It gets hard to deny Trump’s ceiling for the national vote in an honest election can exceed 40% to 45% – which means though he lost the popular vote in 2016 by 3 million votes – Trump would lose the popular vote by 13 million to 18 million votes if the election were held today.

This bad math will drag the GOP senators and reps down in the House and Senate, resulting in more lost seats in November. So yes, the GOP should realize they are likely to lose all their power in November.

But it should also worry all Americans because of one big reason: Trump and the GOP now know for sure they can’t win an honest election. They know they will have to cheat to win. And Donald Trump has the appetite to step blindly onto that path because he really does not care what people think about him. If he did, he would have become a better person long ago. Trump also knows the term that follows his presidential term may be a prison term. So he will be willing to do anything to win.

The bad polling math means if we don’t find a way to remove Donald Trump, we should expect election cheating to be a big part of the GOP strategy in 2020.

If 75% of Americans want to see a trial that has evidence, witnesses and documents, and the GOP representative Senators do not allow that to happen, how are they even representing the public will?

In the years before the founding of the United States, the anti-British slogan was, “taxation without representation is tyranny”. Are we not paying taxes? This much is clear to this writer, as it should be to all: the GOP’s willingness to ignore the will of their constituents is a modern day form of tyranny.

Author: josephsword

JosephAronesty@gmail.com - Joseph Aronesty attended University of Pennsylvania 1967-1971. Published songwriter and father of 5 sons. Discovered that English letters are hieroglyphs for a Stone Age language code that began about 100,000 years ago in Africa, derived from the body/sign language we used as hunters. His book "Deciphering the English Code" conveys this in a way one can understand. He is also one of the world's ground level e-commerce pioneers.

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