Trump’s Tariffs Makes the Price of a Coke Go Up. So What Does GDP Growth Mean for Most Americans?

If GDP growth was spread out evenly across the population, every person in your family should have had $4300 more to spend in the last year. Did that happen for you? 

Dear Trump supporter:

From now until the November midterms, you are going to hear Trump and the GOP selling you that everything is getting better for you and all Americans citing the GDP, the Gross Domestic Product, as proof. In theory, GDP is the sum of the dollar value of everything made in the US for any given year. In theory, if that GDP number goes up, it should means things are getting better for Americans. The second quarter’s GDP growth was 4.1%. It’s a good number. But does it really mean things are getting better for you?

Let’s take a look at the recent history of published GDP figures.  ( Google GDP and GDP per capita. ) The numbers are in trillions of dollars, which is 1,000 billion.

I also show a line graph which breaks the GDP numbers down to GDP per person. That should be the only important graph to average Americans because it shows how the GDP growth is helping the average American. And it’s not!

You can see that our ability to buy things with this GDP “growth” has been slowly sinking. That’s because our annual inflation usually outruns our GDP growth. Note: Trump’s tariffs are going to accelerate the cost of living and inflation way beyond the 4.1 % reported GDP growth.

GDP

What Do These Graphs Mean?

Though GDP goes up nearly every year since 2000 from 1% to 4%, when you adjust for inflation, cost of living and population growth, the per capita spending power of the average American is on a slow 40 year slide – going back to Reagan. The Clinton economy started very badly, but made a valiant recovery in its last few years resulting in an almost even situation for most Americans. Bush’ s presidency was the worst for most Americans and ended with a depression. Obama’s term made up the slight loss of the Clinton presidency, but what was lost in the Bush years and the years before has not been recovered. And Trump’s presidency has really just begun, so it’s hard to tell if GDP growth is helping most Americans so far. With tariffs and oil prices up, it feels like another economic wash. So let’s look closer.

In Trump’s first two years you can see GDP is up 1.13 trillion dollars. But how does that help you? Divide the GDP growth by the number of people ( man, woman and children)  in the USA. That is 1.13 trillion divided by 300 million. That number is $4300 per person. That means that if GDP growth was spread out evenly across the population, every person in your family should have had $4300 more to spend in the last year. Did that happen for you and yours?

What happens if that $4300 per person money only goes to CEO’s and people like Trump who are already super-rich? The answer is – it does not help you. An increase in GDP only helps the average American if the money is shared with the average American. It’s the degree of GDP profit sharing that measures how economic growth helps the average American. And if the standard of living keeps sinking, clearly that GDP growth still means very little to the average American. And yet, you are going to hear Trump and the GOP going on and on about how wonderful they are making things for average Americans.

Dear Trump supporters, your GOP and president are lying to you. They are pulling the wool over your eyes. Trump has said “They only know what we tell them” and “How stupid are the people of Iowa”. That tells you how much respect he has for you. He still has that casino owner mentality. Everyone is a sucker to Trump, except people richer and more crooked than he is. That’s why he speaks well of dictators like Putin Kim Jong-un.

Trump thinks you are a sucker if you …

  • work for a living and pay your share of taxes
  • enroll your kids in the Armed Forces ( Neither Trump nor his kids enlisted in any form of public service)
  • don’t take advantage of your power and get as much sex and money as you can
  • really care about others. That ” I really don’t care” jacket was a reflection of Trump’s mentality – not Melania’s. She was trolling him. She seems almost decent.
  • respect rules and laws
  • pay people who work for you fairly when you don’t have to
  • go to church and/or pray of be spiritual

Trump does none of  the above and never has. I think even his supporters know that.

The Folly of Deregulation

Another talking point is that Trump is smart for deregulating industry. While I can agree that some regulations are overdone, when regulations force large profit-oriented corporations to keep our common environment clean and safely remove their own wastes – that’s a good thing. Of course, company profits will go up when they can just dump their wastes in a river. But who pays for that clean-up and the resultant health damages to us all? We all do! Future waste clean-up and health costs to humans are not factored into the GDP number.

So the GDP growth number is simply not a true or full measure of the state of health of our economy. It’s just one of many measuring tools. But you will hear the GOP tout GDP growth as something that is good for you. I am just pointing out that when things are really good for you – you will know. We don’t have to be told that X or Y is or will be good for us. We will know in our hearts, minds, spirits and pockets when things get better.

GDP is like a baseball team’s batting average. Higher is generally better.  But without good pitching, defense, and coaching – the team with the most hits does not always win, does it? It’s the final score that matters. GDP does not inform us on how Americans are doing as individuals.

Trump’s Tariffs

Coca-Cola just announced the price of  a Coke is going up because the aluminum cans will cost more due to Trump’s tariffs. The government could have stipulated that the billionaire Coca-Cola Company could not pass the tariff ( a tax ) on to American consumers, but that is not how the GOP or the Trump government operates. They freely let the manufacturers pass their cost increases on to consumers with no oversight. – And that means you and I are paying the tariffs – not the big companies. Further, the tariff money goes directly into Trump’s treasury and does not help the average American at all unless it is shared with them. And that is not being done. What a scam! And then he tries to get his supporters to like the idea of getting no bang for their buck.

We all end up paying for Trump’s tariffs. Further, any self-dealing politician (Trump is not the only one ) with foreign bank accounts can favor this or that industry or company, after they are secretly paid in those accounts. It’s called picking winners. It’s also called graft. I know our American farmers are figuring that out right now. If I had the ability to make one rule to save democracy, it would be to stop the ability of politicians to have secret banks accounts. That’s how the crimes get done.

One thought that occurs to me these days is maybe Russia will be allowed to hack the US Treasury and the banking sector this cycle. It’s certainly do-able. No one is looking that closely. Trump certainly has done nothing to stop Russian hacking. We hear talk about hacking the grid. Is this how Trump will pay Putin back for the election help? Who really knows? We let them have private meetings. How stupid is that? We’d never know from Trump. And you cannot deny he has done little to nothing to stop Russia’s cyber-war efforts.

Dear Trump supporter,

Do not be fooled by the GOP’s GDP victory lap. Unless you experienced a $4300 per person increase in your family’s income, your share of that gain was heavily diluted. The entire GOP effort has been to lower standards for average Americans to benefit the super rich, like the Koch’s and Trump’s. That’s why you see them trying to break up affordable healthcare and lower taxes more on the rich than the poor. Those two efforts should tell you all you need to know.

Trump has been at war with the world since he was a kid. – And he has not outgrown that child within himself. That is his personal struggle. Dear Americans, Trump’s struggle does not have to be ours.

 

 

 

 

Why Putin Hacked Our Elections and Why He Wanted Trump

The 2016 hack and publish act is the greatest theft ever committed against the United States. It will be remembered that way, – if we survive this.

Originally written April 2017, the logic of this post is now undeniable. Hurry up Mueller! The whole truth must come out before election day so Americans can make well-informed voting decisions on November 6th. 

Dear Trump Supporter:

Spy Logistics

Imagine you were a Russian tasked with the goal to hack into the 2016 elections to get dirt on Hillary Clinton and help Trump win.  Where would you start? You certainly would not start at the top with Trump, unless you already knew him and his answer. Assuming you did not know if Trump would be okay with foreign hacking help in an election, yospiesu would first have to find that much out.  Why would you expose yourself as a criminal hacker, if the person you are trying to help might not be interested and even possibly turn you in?  To get that permission, you’d have to find a way explain the risks and rewards to Donald Trump.

Those actual inquiring communications from the Russians and the consequent permissions to proceed are the two main elements in the conspiracy to hack the 2016 United States electoral system.  The principles of the theft are clearly Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, as they are the two prime beneficiaries of the theft. They are for whom the stealing was done. 

And what allies did the Russian hackers find here in America?  Steve Bannon, Michael Flynn, Paul Manafort, Michael Cohen, Roger Stone, Jared Kushner top the list but there are many others. This is exactly what and whom ex-marine Bob Mueller is investigating. He is doing it to save America from being taken over by Russia – not with bullets ( they know they can’t do that) but with words. 

Trump knows zero about hacking, but said ( April 30, 2017) “It’s very hard to know who did a hack, once it’s done.” Who told him that?  He certainly did not read it somewhere. Someone told  him this as part of the attempt to get his permission. But, it backfired. Mueller’s team did indeed figure out who the hackers were. Maybe that’s what Trump will say to Putin privately in Helsinki “Hey Vlad, you said it could never be traced. Now what do I do?”  

It’s well-known that Donald Trump does not handle details. He never could. In college, he paid for his homework. ( I was in a class with him at Wharton and know this first-hand. ) Trump doesn’t “study”. He views preparation as beneath him. ( He has said that too, in his roundabout ways.) Trump pays people to do everything for him – even his reading and thinking. So it took detail-oriented Americans like Bannon, Stone, Flynn and Kushner to set this complex entanglement in motion. But even if Trump did not want to know the details of the 2016 hack and publish cyber-operation, the physical actors needed the permission of Donald Trump (or a nod from Donald Jr.) to actually go through with it all. This compares to a Mafia don ordering a hit. The don does not do the crime so he can claim “it wasn’t me”, but he still must approve it. 

Re: Ads in Facebook, Twitter and Google. Russians could not possibly know enough about the nuances of our complex country to time ads and precisely target the right audiences – like they did in places as remote as Ferguson, Mo. They needed American help. And that is espionage. The 2016 hack and publish act is the greatest theft ever committed against the United States. It will be remembered that way, – if we survive this.

Why the Russians Wanted Donald Trump

Trump has had Russian holdings and business arrangements for a long time. These arrangement started in the 80’s, when he started washing his casino cash in foreign banks, like so many corporate crooks and money launderers do. That’s when he first crossed paths with Russian Mafia plaers. These international players don’t want to pay less tax, they want to pay no tax! Why support American infrastructure if you don’t have to is Trump’s MO. Guilt? Not Trump! “I really don’t care”. That, I think, is why Melania selected that infamous jacket. It’s something she probably hears at home a lot.  

Putin knows Trump has had undeclared cash bank accounts overseas. Thats’ the main reason he was an ideal candidate for a rogue nation to support: Trump can easily be blackmailed for his past financial crimes. That’s also why he does not show his taxes. And rest assured Putin does not care about Americans. The democracy that America represents works against dictators who want to steal. And Trump won’t do anything to stop Putin because he is compromised or suborned, as the Russians call it. Trump also kind of likes what he is doing. It’s an ego trip that’s making him richer – so far at least. 

We all know there are many sold-out politicians who just don’t care about average Americans.  It’s a shame, but true. But only a self-centered egomaniac like Donald Trump would stoop to espionage and selling out his country to Russia for a buck. We have not had a traitor like Donald Trump since Benedict Arnold. 

Vladimir Putin is the biggest thief in the history of the world. He has stolen about 200 billion dollars from the existing businesses in Russia in the last 10 years. To carry his plan further and not get caught for what has been stolen, Putin needs the powerful democratic countries of the world to wither away. Weakened, they won’t have the means or resolve to stop his aggressive stealing and land grabs. ( i.e., Ukraine.)

Putin and Trump both supported Le Pen in France and the Russians tried to hack that election too. The French resisted successfully. And Boris Johnson, the Brexit candidate in the UK, was touted by Trump as being a fine candidate for prime minister. The truth is, democracy is just not good for dictators. It gets in the way of their stealing. What thief wants justice? Dictator’s United is the new Citizens United – and its game on, if we don’t stop it. 

Destroying the NATO alliance and democracies like the USA are major goals for dictators like Vladimir Putin. Because Trump is not happy with the few billion he has stolen so far, Trump is a complicit ally in Putin’s global domination projects. Like so many with greed disease, he wants more. Those who do not oppose Trump will eventually realize they have been duped in an effort to make fascism the dominant political force on the planet. Dictator’s United now has its sites on the USA – not just 3rd world countries. What they can’t conquer by force, they will attempt to temp conquer via puppet regimes. That’s pretty much what they have here with Trump. So far, the GOP senators are silent, so Russia is winning. But we can all do something about this soon. 

November 6th 2018 is the new American Independence Day. Be there. Raise your voice.

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You know who THEM is.

Will Donald Trump Run Unopposed in 2020?

It’s easy to think these Trump rallies are made-up campaigns ​to get TV time. ​To many​, they even look silly. But to the people in that town and to Trump’s supporters across the nation, it …

I’m not going to give up on raising my voice for democracy. But sometimes it appears Trump’s opponents are doing just that. Trump runs these campaign style rallies. 1trump

​Let’s really ​wonder why.

It’s easy to think these Trump rallies are made-up campaigns ​to get TV time. ​To many​, they even look silly. But to the people in that town and to Trump’s supporters across the nation, it does NOT look silly! To them, it looks like HE CARES and NOBODY ELSE DOES!

This is salesmanship. I went to Penn with Trump, but they did not teach this at Penn.     ( Not that Trump studied. ) This is what he learned as a casino owner – on the AC boardwalk. Con games. I had a jewelry shop on that boardwalk back then. There was salesmanship meme that trickled down from the Nucky Thompson days.They only know what you tell them, etc. I just did not care to go that route in life. But Trump is telling them what they want to hear during these rallies. 

So. If Joe Biden is running in 2020, he’d better start now. I mean this week!​

Whoever is running, they’s better start now! If they don’t, they will appear like Johnny come late-lies in 2020. They will appear low energy. And Trump will use that phrase along with weak, tired and old. ​

They don’t have to announce they are running. Not at all. That would be a mistake. But they can’t sit back and watch him win hearts and minds unopposed. They must get out there and show they care and that they have the energy for this.

I suggest when Trump announces these campaign rallies going forward, there is ALWAYS one other serious competing pop-up venue, (a town hall is best,) running at the same time, close to his rally. In the same media range for sure. 

That way folks can decide if they​ like the carnival barker who is paying attention to them,  or the other guy who is asking them questions on how their lives could be better and how he can help​.​ But now, there is no other voice whispering in their ears.

If we let Trump run unopposed to 3 1/2 years, he may effectively run unopposed in 2020. Hence the gallish subject line. Especially if we bicker a​s​ to whom should top the bill, and who should retire, etc.

These campaign rallies will affect November 2018! We need to start running against Trump during these campaign rallies, each and every one!​

Bernie and Biden can do this( I believe they should run as a ticket – and decide later who is president and who is VP and even 3rd in line​. Think outside the box. Trump is. )​

And if they don’t have the energy or foresight for this now – then they are likely done. 

Someone must take up the charge against his agenda ASAP. Explain to people that the nickles he saves them with tax cuts, cant pay for the education, healthcare, and infrastructure they sorely need. ​And how they are being misled.​

These campaign rallies do work to some degree, which beats no counter effort from the side of reason and love. 

​Finally, and this is sad to write​, but we must also be realistic. We know what we are witnessing is whitelash. This country was not ready for a black president. And we still are not. So not this cycle. I love Cory Booker. But not this cycle. And no women either. Not for a presidential ticket. Everywhere else is more than fine. Just how it is.

WE CAN NOT AFFORD TO LOSE IN 2018 OR 2020. We cannot afford to gamble. Unfortunately, we need to convince those who fear minorities and misogynists that we have their backs. 

If you have connections to your representatives, and we all should these days, ​please get print this idea out, and get it over to the right people. Circulate this idea in social media with a focus on Biden. Bernie. ​Swalwell

btw – I would put nothing behind these guys. They are killers. He has even said so. They will do anything do keep their economic advantages.

PS. They are killers is the root of the Indian word Yosemite. I sort of see the word “smite” hidden in there. ​I believe all languages are connected, if you look close enough.  After Trump is deposed, I will get back to my passion of teaching the ways languages connect. We are all connected. But right now, we are at war – and the enemy is within.

Donald Trump Compares to King George III

I have put this together for people on the left and right. If you call yourself a conservative please wade through this and think for yourself. Let’s all set the many differences is our life views aside for a moment. We need to reason together now or we will surely suffer great losses soon.

Donald Trump has openly set a course to dismantle many long-standing governmental institutions.

I have put this argument together for people on the left and right. If you call yourself a conservative please wade through this and think for yourself. Let’s all set the many differences in our life views aside for a moment. Americans need to reason together now or we will all soon surely suffer great losses.

Donald Trump has openly set course to dismantle many long-standing governmental institutions. The stated* philosophy behind this tactic is that the private sector can do the work better than the government can.  I wonder about this. In either case, the work has to ultimately be done by people. The main difference is that if work is done by the private corporation, the soul of that corporation is mainly driven by profits for ownership and investors. The people doing the actual work become expenses in their balance sheets. If projects are done with the US government at the helm, ideally we all could have a share in the profits of that work. It’s our government to share. But unless we are investors or owners, it is not our corporation to share. Not at all. Think on that next time someone tries to sell you trickle down anything. 

  • The GOP advertises this philosophy but there has been zero proof that it works for over 40 years. It appears to most Americans to be a cover-up for fattening the wallets of the super-rich, and for that there is 40 years of evidence. 

While many functions historically belong to the private sector, some clearly do not. For example, the military could be a private sector enterprise. They call people who go into the militia for pay mercenaries. But this is not the way we do military here in the US, and it’s probably a good thing.  If making war creates corporate profits, it opens the avenue for more wars. To many, it still feels like the Vietnam war was about corporate profits.

In the USA we have public education because those who have come before us have deemed it to be in our national interest to have well educated citizens. So I have begun to wonder whether this course of dismantling government agencies so that their functions are left for corporations to do is even legal or constitutional. Still Trump is plodding ahead with corporatism. And of course, he gets to choose who gets the fat contracts. By now its also clear he has the undeclared foreign bank accounts to accept any bribes for those assignments. That can’t be good for our nation, but it is good for the Trump family if all they care about is money . And most Americans believe that today. 

So how is this corporate direction working so far for our nation?

Trump’s secretaries of State have not made enough foreign assignments needed to adequately represent the United States across the globe. Weakening our world presence makes us less safe. Our presidents all take an oath to do their best to keep us safe.  If this  is Trump’s best, it’s incompetence – and if it’s not his best, it’s a willing attempt to sell this country out, which is also exactly what Russia, our sworn enemy, wants for America.

Trump’s secretary of Education, Betsy de Vos, does not fully believe in public education. Trump’s head of the Environmental Protection Agency is not protecting the environment. Scott Pruitt is selling out the environment the EPA was designed to protect to the highest bidders and swiftly undoing the environmental safeguards we have put in place over the last 40 years. And Trump says he is doing a great job for the economy. Yes, its a great job if you don’t really care about the citizens of this country and think of them as deficits on the balance sheet of corporate profits. 

Trump is also trying to undo Medicare, Affordable Care and now even the Veterans Administration is not sacred to his party. He seems to aim to stop the VA from functioning by putting incompetent or sold-out yes men in charge, setting the VA on a path to privatization. If this becomes successful, his donors can sell the VA’s pieces to the highest bidders in big medicine, stuff their pockets – and run. This will not serve veterans and they know it. He fired the head of the VA because he was actually trying to improve things for our veterans.

Trump’s party members are in effect using the corporate raider system to bankrupt the USA, piece-by-piece – and they have the undeclared foreign bank accounts to hide what they steal. They are even trying to dismantle the Post Office. And if a corporation does not stand with Trump, and buy into his plans, like Amazon and Jeff Bezos, he tries to undo them. 

All the above mentioned agencies existed before this presidency and have been in place for many presidencies, generations and in some cases centuries. These agencies exist and were formed because these agencies were deemed necessary to protect and provide for the citizens of this country that this government was designed to serve.

The people who voted for Trump did not weigh in and say we don’t want a public VA, clean air or good public education, nor did Trump run on those things. In fact, Trump’s supporters rejected Romney because he was honest and told them that he wanted more corporatism. In a democracy, a change at the top does not undo the importance of the work these established agencies were created to do for us. In an autocracy however, everything a country stands for can pivot on the whim of an authoritarian. We have seen this many times before in other countries, but never yet in the United States. Yet we are witnessing the piece-by-piece dismantling of the US government and and we are letting it happen. There are brains far smarter than Donald Trump behind this. They hide. Trump is just the spokesman for a wealthy, greedy, unpatriotic group of industrialists who want to profit by privatizing all the functions of the US government. And if that is not in the interest of the majority of Americans, and a president swears to do his best to protect our national interests, how can it be legal or constitutional?

Which brings me to this. What was the United States originally designed to do for its citizens? For that we need to look back to 1776. 

What Can the Declaration of Independence Teach Us?

george3The enabling clauses of the the Declaration of Independence ( in italics for highlighting) is what forms the basis for the formation of this country. The colonists list their grievances with King Henry III of England, who had been ruling the colonies from an out-of-touch distance.  This is where I please ask the fundamentalists, constitutionalists and Trump supporters – pay close attention and try to form your own independent opinion.

We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable Rights, that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness.–That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, …

Have the US citizens given consent to their president to stop protecting our environment? Negative! And when it comes to our liberty and our freedom, – how can “working with Russians to try to fix a free and fair election” be constitutional? It does not foster our liberty or freedom. It sells us all out.

There is very little Trump has done that has actually the consent of the public he serves.  The public was 3:1 against his tax plan, and he/they did it anyway.  He simply says things like “You elected me president, I can do what I want”, “I’m the president and you’re not”. This is not how democracy was designed to function. This is however exactly how an authoritarian oligarchy works.

The Words of a Fully-committed Authoritarian

Listen to what Putin said at a USSR hockey game to a CBS reporter. He said with an undeniable smirk “Trump is acting in accordance with his own government constitution and putin-hockeylaws”. There is a sense that Putin knows Trump is struggling with the machinations and pesky laws of a democracy. You can listen to the interview by clicking on the photo.

Putin is a dictator who often silences his opposition the old-fashioned way. He does not have to abide by a constitution. His will is the constitution. There is no democracy in Russia. We are in the process of losing that here now. 

Trump clearly wishes he had Putin’s supreme power. He has said so. He also said it might be a good thing if one could be president for life. Trump is actually working on that, step-by-step – and I get the distinct impression that the Russian help he is getting is more than just election meddling. Putin seems to be feeding him the steps he needs to take to become fascist authoritarian in the USA, like he is in Russia. I also say that because I know Trump is not that smart, nor is he a historian in any sense of that word. I went to Penn and saw him paying for his homework in 1967. We all knew he was no scholar. Like I said, other brains are behind this assault on democracy. I digress. Back on track. 

The Declaration of Independence goes on to enumerate distinct grievances which form the reasons the colonists needed to get free of King George III and English rule. The colonists complaints sound frighteningly similar to the complaints the left has against Trump today. These are quotes from the 1776 document:

The history of the present King of Great Britain is a history of repeated injuries and usurpations, all having the object to establish an absolute Tyranny over these States. To prove this, let Facts be submitted to a candid world.

He has refused his Assent to Laws, the most wholesome and necessary for the public good.  – That means George III held himself above the rule of law.

He has forbidden his Governors to pass Laws of immediate and pressing importance, and … he has utterly neglected to attend to them. This reminds me of Trump dismantling the EPA and ignoring climate science.  All our citizens need and have clearly demanded that our government work to provide clean air and water.  A clean environment speaks to the right to life. 

He has refused to pass other Laws for the accommodation of large districts of people, unless those people would relinquish the right of Representation in the Legislature, … This is reminiscent of the GOP voter intimidation laws, Gerrymandering and census tampering. trump also attacks immigrants and people with brown skin.  

He has called together legislative bodies at places unusual, uncomfortable, and distant from the depository of their public Records, for the sole purpose of fatiguing them into compliance with his measures. Reminiscent of when the GOP questioned witnesses in the Mueller probe in NYC rather than DC. Fatiguing opponents into compliance is so Trump-style one would think he studied King George III. But no. Trump does not study. 

He has endeavored to prevent the population of these States; for that purpose obstructing the Laws for Naturalization of Foreigners; refusing to pass others to encourage their migrations hither, … This feels like what Trump is doing to the Mexicans and DACA kids. 

He has made Judges dependent on his Will alone, for the tenure of their offices, and the amount and payment of their salaries.  Trump repeatedly fires staff that do not bend to his will. He has affected to render the Military independent of and superior to the Civil power. He has obstructed the Administration of Justice How amazingly similar to today’s conversations this all seems to be. 

For cutting off our Trade with all parts of the world. Trump’s trade war fits right in there.

For imposing Taxes on us without our Consent: Trump’s billionaire tax relief bill fits here. And really, Americans were 75%-25% against his tax bill. He did not have our consent! 

For suspending our own Legislatures, and declaring themselves invested with power to legislate for us in all cases whatsoever. This is what the nuclear option would do to America. King George did this and Trump is asking for it.

He is at this time transporting Armies of foreign Mercenaries to …. complete works of tyranny unworthy of a …civilized nation. And these remind me of the Russian accomplices Trump worked with to gain power. Yes, you have to adjust a bit for 250 years, but not that much. 

He has excited domestic insurrections amongst us …. This is exactly what Trump does and has done since day one with his birther stance. He divides the nation into two artificial camps, weakens them both, and tries to conquer that way.  His strategy is the house divided theory incarnate. 

History does repeat itself. What King George III was a saw in the colonies was a way to make a buck without caring about the colonists. This is the same with Trump and the GOP. They view everything through the lens of their personal profits. They even try to enroll our citizens into thinking profit is all that matters in life. 

I’m going to stop this now and not recommend the course out of this for us. We all know we have to vote out the president’s party in November. That is the only way out of the Trump Error. Yes, i said error – not era. Hopefully it will be over November, in less that 200 days. We are, in that case, 70% through the Trump Error. 

It’s also worth mentioning that Fareed Zakaria just reminded us the Germany was the world’s most progressive democracy when Hitler destroyed the machinations of democracy – piece-by-piece. History repeats itself. 

I will close with this. In the later part of his life, George III had recurrent, and eventually permanent, mental illness. Sic semper tyrannus. The voters are coming! 

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Why Are We Are Gambling With Our Country’s 240 Year-old Democracy?

Citizens. Congresspeople. Do you have this feeling that our president is unstable and may be compromised? Why are we  gambling with our country’s 240 year-old democracy now?

trump-storm8Citizens. Congresspeople. Do you, like me, have this inner sense that our president is unstable and may be compromised? You are not alone. A decent percentage of Americans (and global citizens as well) now share those sentiments.  So why is America gambling with its 240 year-old democracy?

Actuaries and risk managers know “the more one has to lose, the less risk one should be willing to take”. Things we value more we gamble less with. It’s also common sense. So in theory, we should have a very low tolerance for gambling on our democracy.  And yet it feels to many that the GOP Congress is willing to risk it all rather than push for the truth about what the leader of their party did in the election of 2016. And by closing their eyes about 2016 they gamble blindly on what an unethical compromised businessman might do going forward to keep the truth buried.

John Bolton, coming on-board April 9th, seems to be a veiled threat to the citizens of the United States. It seems to say “I can blow this all up, if you come after me.” Trump is assembling a war room, and the targets of his war are justice and democracy

In spite of his words to the contrary, the majority of people in the US now believe Trump’s team did coordinate with the Russians ( and that means Putin) in the 2016 election.  Trump knows if the full truth gets out he may even go to jail. The traitorous act of reaching out to a foreign enemy to affect our elections should inform us that Trump does not care about America or the rule of law and is willing to engage in more traitorous or criminal acts to avoid getting caught.

This is why Trump must now be assured the rule of law applies to him. It’s not as much to get Trump out as to save our country from whatever a criminal might do to hide his crimes and cover his hide. Psychologists, history and common sense inform us that criminals will risk their own lives and the lives of others to not get caught. So its clear, any president under criminal investigation must have his powers checked. And that is what exactly we have here now. 

If we lose rule of law, we have lost our democracy.

Some are calling for impeachment. But impeachment is a long process, a national embarrassment and our laws are set up to make it difficult to actually implement. History informs us that Nixon and Clinton were “impeached”, but they did not even pay for their crimes.

Impeachment is a weird word. Why is there a peach in impeachment? I googled the etymology of the word IMPEACH. It stems from IMPEDIMENT, literally to shackle the feet or impede the movement of a leader. So maybe that’s all that needs to be done here. And that does not have to be a long process. 

The etymology of impeach (v.) (etymonline.com)
formerly also empeach, late 14c., “to impede, hinder, prevent,” from Anglo-French empecher, Old French empeechier “to hinder, stop, impede; capture, trap, ensnare” (12c., Modern French empêcher),
from Late Latin impedicare “to fetter, catch, entangle,” from assimilated form of in- “into, in” (from PIE root *en “in”) + Latin pedica “a shackle, fetter,” from pes (genitive pedis) “foot” (from PIE root *ped- “foot”). A sense of “shackling the motions” of a corrupt ruler ensued.

Representatives: Americans really don’t care what side of the aisle you are on. We all have families, kids, grand-kids, futures to look forward to, movies to see, etc. Trump is at least potentially compromised and the stakes are simply too high for us to gamble now. Are you willing to risk it all for a man who has a lifelong record of stiffing almost everyone he deals with – wives and family included? If so, your words and actions are being recorded. And the election of 2018 is not far away. The heart of the Blue Wave pumps for the rule of law, democracy and common sense. 

Citizens: Shouldn’t we stop gambling with our precious democracy now? We need checks and balances on a president under criminal investigation. That effort can proceed easier and faster than a full impeachment. We need to impede his actions until the full truth comes out. So a few things have to be done – and immediately or asap. 

#1 – Congress needs to make it clear Trump cannot start a war without Senate approval. A potentially compromised president should not have unchecked war powers. That is just craziness. 

#2 – A bill that ensures that Mueller will not be fired without just cause must be put in place. Trump must know he is not the be all end all in the USA just because he is currently president. In business, Trump never had much regard for the rule of law. But this is our country, not his business. So we have to protect it. We can’y rely on Trump to do this for us. That is a sad statement, but it rings true. Americans cannot currently rely on their president or Congress to protect their interests. They will have to do it for themselves. And that effort has begun. It is the heart of the #VoteThemOut and the #MeToo movements.

With these two steps, we can get to the intention of impeachment, without the rigors of an actual impeachment. – And that may be all we need now. 

Remember, Trump’s family life is unwinding. Melania and Baron will be likely gone soon and he knows that. Isolated from family, Trump is becoming a lone wolf and has less to lose by setting the world on fire. Given this situation, Trump having unchecked nuclear power is simply not sane. It is too large of a gamble. The president post is supposed to be there to protect us, not threaten us. He is not functioning in that manner and may not psychologically stable enough to do so. 

Character counts: Trump’s affairs should be more than a sign of infidelity to the women who bore his children. Why would someone be faithful to America’s citizens if he can summon no reasons to be faithful to his closest family members?  

#3. (Regrettably optional. ) At this point, I simple don’t get why we allow Trump to not show his taxes. That was the original empowerment pass we gave him. I really don’t care about current legality of this. Letting a POTUS not show taxes is not working for us! We need laws that actually work for our citizens.

Trump is in a special unique category now. It may be that our sworn enemy knows the full truth about his crimes and is blackmailing him over that.  GOP members could advocate for having Trump’s taxes revealed for national security reasons. It would actually bolster their party image which has been generally spineless in the face of Russia’s cyber attack. That spineless quality – whether they know it or not – is the heart if the Blue Wave. The majority of Americans don’t feel protected or safe with a Congress that won’t stand up to this president.

Vetting Our Politicians

Eventually we will need a bill that says no one can serve in the Congress, judicial or executive branch without the full release of 5 year’s of taxes and disclosure of any and all foreign bank accounts. if we don’t do this, this will happen again and again. Undeclared foreign bank accounts is exactly how we invite criminal money launderers into our government. They see the dollar signs in government and without full disclosure laws they know they can take bribes and hide them. Public service becomes self-service. This is pure dumbness. I have long said Trump would rather step down rather than show his taxes. If he had to show his taxes to be a candidate, he never would have run in the first place.

In summary: Shackling or impeding will sit better with Trump’s base than impeachment. Impeachment conjures up images of Clinton and Nixon. Trump’s crimes are potentially treasonous and if so, they would be in a vastly different category that the crimes of any previous presidents. 

And now, on April 9th, Trump will have a mental body double with his finger on the nuclear codes. This is craziness. We must stop the gambling before 4/9.

And how do we really know PUTIN is not calling all the shots here? Tillerson and Mattis were fired right after they took hard stances against Russia. We don’t know who is calling these shots! Putin rigs his elections, and executes his enemies.  Trump’s ties to Putin are no longer an unsubstantiated theory. What are we waiting for? We are gambling with men who have never been trustworthy. That speaks to Putin and Trump. 

Mueller: If you have the goods on Donald J Trump now is the time to release the hounds. Take those bold step before April 9th, when Bolton is scheduled to take office. After that, the world’s madness rating will escalate substantially and the stakes we will be gambling with will be the survival of the American democracy and the fate of mankind. 

…….

Joseph Aronesty went to Penn with Trump and knew him from 1967 and 1985 where he worked near him in AC. He was early to say he was working with the Russians, right after Trump said ” Russia if you’re listening”, because he witnessed those Russian mafia connections back in Trump’s casino days. “No way Trump lost that billion in AC. That’s when the foreign bank accounts started.”

Original Lithograph by Jared Schwartz, Palos Verdes, CA

 

 

 

 

 

Trump Alone Can Break Us. But 2018 Is 1968 On Social Media #Vote Them Out

Like a joke that is repeated too often and is no longer funny, Trump’s greatest hits are starting to really annoy Americans … everywhere. As people flee his inner circle, there is a growing sense that he really does not know what he is doing in his new role.

I joined the protesters in Beverly Hills on the night Trump was in LA. Thousands of people, from all walks of life, some with kids, marched with home-made banners to have their voices be heard. There was a giant Trump balloon, and I put one  of my VOTE THEM ALL OUT stickers on his blue suit ass. It looked great. There was music, food and reporters. One group of Indivisibles dressed up as Russians and did satire. What was witnessed was something I am calling TrumpLash. #TrumpLash . Consider helping spread that hashtag/meme. It’s a winner. Pardon my Trumpism. 

Like a joke that is repeated too often and is no longer funny, Trump’s greatest hits are starting to really annoy Americans … everywhere. As people flee his inner circle, there is a growing sense that he really does not know what he is doing in his new role. He may have been OK as a reality TV star but he seems totally incompetent as POTUS. And all these job evacuees are costing us. It’s hard to get stuff done when your staff keeps changing. Projects are left unfinished. And the endless vetting processes for new staff are time consuming, draining and expensive.  Why would reasonable people be annoyed?

In 400 days, 43% of Trump’s top cabinet picks are gone . Many have stepped down, some have been fired, and some have even plead guilty to crimes. Trump said he would get the best people. But we now know that 43% of the time, his first choices were not solid choices. They’re gone. So they were not the best people after all, were they? And if that is the case, why would we trust him for anything if he gets it right only 4 times out of 7 ? We expect better in the USA. And for international diplomacy, 3 out of 7 wrong is a very dangerous stat. Imagine if Kennedy was wrong on the Cuban Missile Crisis or Roosevelt about Hitler. 

It is now also clear Trump’s hotheaded gut reactions are materially damaging the GOP party that he is aligned with. Why on earth would a thoughtful leader fire his Secretary of State on the same day of a tight election in Pennsylvania? That’s pure stupidity. It could have waited. That election was lost by less than 1%. I am sure that some percentage of GOP voters heard about that firing, and decided it was the straw that broke the camels’ back for them. They heard about the firing and switched their vote for the Dem. – or against the person in the WH. Same thing. There is clear evidence that Trump alone can break this (country).  People everywhere are beginning to catch on to that.  If we let him, he will break our democracy to save his neck. 

Welcome to the Spring of 2018. The weather is going to warm up. People will turn to the streets in numbers. Students were out today. They say it’s for better gun laws. But Trump is not going to do anything about gun control. He is too distracted trying to escape prosecution for his crimes. The underlying protest is against Donald J Trump. It’s TrumpLash. #TrumpLash

Even if he wanted to, Trump has effectively lost the public mandate to rule effectively. His approval ratings are at historic lows. And he never intended to work hard for Americans in the first place.  In his life, he has only ever schemed and cheated to benefit himself. Work? Working for others is not part of the Trump ethic. Serving his country? He was a draft dodger. Still has that mentality. His kids never served either. Not like Biden at all.

When he won, he said” OK, we’re going to have some fun with this“. That’s a quote. If it’s not fun for Trump, he does not get into it very much. Golf OK. Sex with strangers, very OK. Such a poor choice for president we have made. And we mostly all know it by now.

So what are we going to do about it America? The Spring and Summer of 2018 is going to be historic. The world really is watching us on this one. What’s it going to be?

vote-out-button-300dpi

 

 

 

What’s Really Behind Trump’s Announced North Korean Meeting?

Donald Trump announced today that he wants to meet with Kim Jong-un in May to discuss disarming. But is it Donald Trump, our generals, or Vladmir Putin behind this newly announced meeting? Let’s follow the money trails and use some logic and see if we can draw any conclusions. 

jong-unDonald Trump announced today that he wants to meet with Kim Jong-un in May to discuss denuclearization. But was it Donald Trump, Jong-un, our generals, or Vladimir Putin – who first imagined this newly announced meeting? Let’s follow the money and logical trails and see if we can draw some conclusions. 

#1 The Washington Post reported in December 2017 that some of the more advanced missiles recently put on display by North Korea were acquired with help from Russia. This was according to actual documents from one of the top Soviet missile manufacturers. That’s a solid source of information. So Russia is working with North Korea, and clearly Putin has some pretty decent pull with Kim Jong-un. 

#2 On February 3, 2017, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un sent out Lunar New Year greeting cards to numerous world leaders, highlighting his international allies. He listed Russia at the top of his list, relegating China to second place and Cuba to third. His symbolic show of solidarity with the Kremlin has also been accompanied by a string of economic deals with Russia. North Korea is also beholden to Russia owing to its geographical situation. North Korea is to Russia is like Delaware is to the United States. 

#3 On January 31 2017, Russia’s state news agency, TASS, reported that Russia Railways representatives visited North Korea to discuss an expansion of railway links between the two countries.  They share a border. Both parties agreed to expand training for North Korean engineers at Russian universities.

The obvious conclusion is that Putin and Jong-un are working together – and in that relationship clearly Putin has the upper hand.

Putin also has a huge stake in Trump’s success because there’s a 500 billion dollar oil deal he wanted Tillerson/Exxon for, owing to Obama’s sanctions against Russia for Putin invading Crimea. This is why Putin wanted Tillerson and not Romney. Putin also has the upper hand on Trump. ( Interesting that Tillerson is out now. My sense is that he was too much of a patriot, to cow-tow to Trump, a person he considered a moron. Kudos to Rex. )

Trump and Putin are clearly both very greedy men, salesmen more than statesmen, and they have their eyes on the biggest monetary deal in the history of man

So what is behind Trump’s May rendezvous with Kim Jong-un?

We can already see the one major result of Trump’s North Korean meeting: it takes the main focus of news reporting off the Russian story, where Trump cannot get a break, largely because the criminality and truth is slowly coming to light.  

We have clear evidence that Korea is working with Putin, so Putin is obviously in on this May meeting with Trump and Jong-un. Putin may even have directed it. They all have back-channels. Taking the heat off Trump increases Putin’s chance of getting that oil deal, which if Trump is ousted, he will never get – and he knows that. 

With all three players tractably and directly connected, what we are witnessing is nothing more than a choreographed staged show designed to make it seem like a big global problem is about to be solved by Donald Trump. And that buys Trump time to keep the Russian heat away. I don’t think this will turn out to be anything more than that. A stalling tactic coordinated by Putin to help Trump – probably for that oil deal which is what he wanted when he started helping Trump with “bots” and “spies”. 

Plus if they really wanted to solve the problem, they could use a phone or face time tomorrow. But that is NOT the goal. The goal is stall and put on a show and keep the public eye off the criminal activity that went on, and goes on daily in this White House. Trump has stopped the formality of  documenting who visits the White House. He does not even want us to know who he is working with here in the USA, let alone the foreign spies. Our diplomatic corps has been slashed to pieces. He has sold us out – not just Manafort. 

And Trump still won’t show his taxes for fear of what? Please fill that in yourself. But it’s not because he never gave much to charity or he is under audit.  I assume it’s because his taxes reveal ties to the shadowy regimes he has been working with for years. I assume its because he launders his money because he hates to pay tax to the USA and take part in any serious building of America with his dollars. That sort of patriotism has always been for suckers in his “don’t tax me” mind.  I assume that reasonable people know he won’t show taxes because it will reveal that Trump is a criminal. 

Trump knows its harder to attack a president when there are wars or peace negotiations going on. So maybe this entire event is part of a few coordinated staged events to get the news off Trump’s Russian connections. And working backwards, this cynical logic is already proving out. It’s working. And nothing else makes much sense.

manchurian-bwIf Trump stays in power, it increases Putin’s chance that the 500 billion-dollar oil deal will happen. And of course, Trump gets a percentage of that deal, deposited into one of those secret bank accounts that he refuses to disclose to us. That’s how these deals are made.

I always assume that people with known greed disease, like Putin and Trump have shown they have one main objective: to gain more dollars. It’s how greedy people measure their success. Neither Putin nor Trump has shown the world, or their citizens any real care for their constituents. Have they? They are clearly both in this for themselves. They would both feel out of their skin to become charitable souls. We all know that. Trump supporters know this too. 

So media people! Please do not get distracted by this sudden North Korea thing; it’s a coordinated staged show.  Yong-un will likely change his mind when it gets down to actual denuclearization. It is still a favorite to be a nothing-burger with Kim walking away, and a net effect of stalling for time and making Trump appear to be presidential. 

Stay on the Russian/Trump investigation. You will eventually discover that the Russians recruited Trump – and that was done for the Russian oil deal . They have three more years to get that done if we don’t impeach Trump and Tillerson. It’s worth that time to make 500 billion, right? It’s a long con, as its called in carny world.

Neither Trump nor Putin can outrun the Blue Wave of 2018!

If we VOTE THEM OUT in 2018, we can flip the house and that changes everything. And it is beginning to feel like this can happen. Almost no average American wants the GOP’s no-care health bill . Why would people vote for any GOP candidates in 2018? 

Saving some huge political event, there are only two realistic avenues to save America from the current Putin/Trump regime, which is what we have now. 

#1 Mueller gets to the truth on the Russian hack, and shows us all that Trump was in on it before November. That would do it.  

#2 The country votes out all sold-out congressmen in 2018. It looks like the pendulum is swinging in that direction. So stay vocal! Then we impeach Trump. 

This oil deal is what the Russian election campaign was all about. It is worth at least a 25 billion dollars (5% commission)  for Trump and 475 billion for Putin. Putin and Trump are salesmen, trying to make a “score”, which is what they call it.  I know this because I went to that same depression-survivor sales school as Trump did. It’ s why we ended up in a class together at Wharton School of Finance.

trumpHowever, this type of selling was not taught at Wharton. It was taught at Trump’s dinner table, while growing up. I got fed the same lines – I just made different decisions about them. And that’s why Trump thanked his long-deceased father at his acceptance speech. The thank you was lightly glossed over by the media, but it was actually a big deal for Trump who had serious father issues.

There was real generation gap between the spoiled kids of the 1960’s and the children of the Great Depression. Listen to Frank Zappa to learn about that.

Trump finally got closure on his father issue with a brief statement made to the deceased. It’s probably something he never told him when he was alive. It was his way of saying, “dad you were right all along”. It actually was one of the most human and honest statements Trump has ever made.

Media! Stay on the real story – the Trump/Putin coordination.

Do not get distracted by the staging we are witnessing. We will get more of it. It’s all the guilty can do. We will get to the obvious truth, but only if we stay focused on what our collective logic is telling us. We have elected a criminal. He is an outlying member of the Russian mafia, which deals in global money laundering. 

josepharonesty@gmail.com

Very few Americans love Trump so much that if they knew he was a Russian agent, witting or not, they would be OK with it. Right?    Right?